Victorians still feel unsafe despite crime rates falling

New research* from RACV has revealed that despite average crime rates being down, according to the Victorian Police recent statistics, Victorians are still worried about crime in their local area.

The research highlights 85 per cent of respondents believe the state has a crime problem, with a third believing that Victoria has a ‘serious crime problem’.

Victorian Police crime statistics show that crime rates are at their lowest in five years including:

  • Non-aggravated burglary, which is trending down 17 per cent since 2017 and aggravated burglary, which is down 10 per cent. 
  • The average burglary rate has also improved, from one in 69 homes burgled in 2017 to one in 76 homes in 2018. 
  • 39 per cent of burglaries are through a forced/broken door or window. 

Following the release of the Victorian Police data, RACV completed a suburb-by-suburb analysis to better understand local crime trends. The breakdown found:

  • Regional suburbs Ardmona, Coomboona, Mooroopna, Mooroopna North and Undera actually saw the crime rate spike from one in 49 homes burgled in 2017 to one in 23 in 2018. 
  • Last year’s top ten Greater Melbourne and regional Victoria hotspots saw reductions in crime rates, except for Broadmeadows, Dallas and Jacana, which saw a slight increase from one in 32 to one in 31 homes burgled. 
  • Crime rates in Diggers Rest, Corio, Norlane and North Shore have remained unchanged since 2017. 

RACV Home Program Manager, Bess Nolan-Cook, said Victorians’ perceptions of crime weren’t unwarranted, with the research finding that 25 per cent say crime is a regular occurrence in their community.

“Victorians’ biggest concern was people using or dealing drugs in their area, closely followed by vandalism, graffiti or other deliberate damage to property.

“We also found that six in ten people surveyed felt that having more CCTV cameras would help them feel safer.

Thankfully, there are a few simple measures that Victorians can adopt to reduce their own chances of being burgled, such as locking their front doors and cars all times, which around 20 per cent of Victorians currently do not do,” she said.

Victorians who are interested in seeing how their suburb ranks can visit

RACV is a member of Safety Alliance Victoria, a partnership between Victoria Police, Neighbourhood Watch, Crime Stoppers and Federation University Australia, which aims to reduce residential burglaries in Victoria.

Top 10 burglary hot spots across Victoria

Top 10 burglary hot spots across Victoria



Burglary rate 2016-17

Burglary rate 2017-18


Ardmona, Coombona, Mooroopna, Mooroopna North, Undera


1 in 49 homes

1 in 23 homes


Airly, Seaspray, Montgomery, Darriman


1 in 17 homes

1 in 27 homes


Cardinia, Clyde, Clyde North


1 in 20 homes

1 in 28 homes


Broadmeadows, Dallas, Jacana


1 in 32 homes

1 in 31 homes


Diggers Rest


1 in 32 homes

1 in 32 homes


Corio, Norlane, North Shore


1 in 32 homes

1 in 32 homes




1 in 28 homes

1 in 39 homes


Breakwater, East Geelong, Newcomb, St Albans Park, Thomson, Whittington


1 in 35 homes

1 in 39 homes


Mildura, Mildura West


1 in 36 homes

1 in 41 homes


Driffield, Morwell


1 in 27 homes

1 in 41 homes


Written by RACV Corporate Communications (03) 9790 2572
November 1, 2018

* Research conducted by YouGov, on behalf of RACV, representative study of Victorians aged 18 years and older. n = 1,013